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Assignments

1. Team assignment. Start: September 2nd, 2.15 – 3.00 p.m in class. Take a look at the “Principles of Disclosure” adopted by the National Council on Public Polls. And then take a look at the three following news items:

• “Americans Worse Than When Obama Inaugurated by 44%-34% Margin“
• “Americans Regain Some Confidence in Newspapers, TV News“
• “J.P. Morgan: Most Americans Unsure How Much They Need To Retire”

Do you think the “principles of disclosure” should apply to all three? If not, why not? In the cases you think they do apply, was there systematic compliance? Discuss and start preparing a report (5,000 characters with spaces max.) answering these questions. Give a finalized version back to me September 9th (beginning of class).

2. Individual assignment. Read “The ‘Margin of Error’ for Differences in Polls”, by Charles Franklin;

• Go here, and pick the most recent national presidential job approval poll in the list;
• And answer the following questions (1 page should be enough):
• What is (assuming random sampling) the 95% confidence interval for the proportion of “approve” in the most recent poll? Explain how you got there.
• Is the difference between “approve” and “disapprove” in the most recent poll statistically significant? Explain.
• Go back to the list, and have a look at the next to last poll conducted by the same polling company. Is the change in approval from the next to last to the last poll statistically significant? Explain.

To be delivered September 23rd (beginning of class).

3. Team assignment. Start: September 30th, 2.00 – 3.00 p.m. in class. Try your hand at questionnaire design. Go ahead and design a survey instrument to be administered to the undergraduate students in GU’s Department of Government concerning satisfaction levels with the curriculum and the quality of instruction (in case you did not notice, this is Rea and Parker’s exercise 4 in page 72). Finish it up in class, produce a polished version by the next day and mail it to me and to another group of students (we’ll figure how to organize this in class) to get feedback. And prepare to give feedback yourself to another draft by October 7th (to be presented orally in class and also in a written report, 5,000 characters with spaces max).

4. Individual assignment. Design a research project involving the use of a survey. This research report must include the description of the main research question, a brief review of theoretically relevant work, a description of the main hypotheses, a description of sampling procedures (frame, size, selection) and the survey instrument. You will present this in class starting on November 11th to get initial feedback from the class. The final document is to be sent to me no later than December 7th (noon, 25,000 characters with spaces max).