PSD: 34.3% (-0.5)PS: 32.1% (+0.9)CDS-PP: 11.6% (-0.9)CDU: 9% (+0.2)BE: 6.9% (+0.4)Here, basically suggesting that the last known poll was not an outlier.
Interesting tidbits from the last Catholic University poll (Portugal, registered voters, N=1366, face to face, 49% response rate):- 67% evaluate the government's performance as "bad" or "very bad."An ...
A new poll out today. Below, an update of our usual graph (the lines are local regression smoothers, 75% bandwidth) already including it. One result of that poll that may surprise some people is that ...
As usual, very few polls, nothing since April 20th (!), everything very dependent on the leverage of particular polls from particular pollsters. And yet, note the recent unusual pattern when we take i ...
There's a petit frisson around Sarkozy "narrowing the gap," and yes, there may be something going on along those lines. But a little perspective: looking at the last two polls of each of the eight pol ...
Eight pollsters now (Ifop, LH2, Harris, Ipsos, BVA, CSA, Harris, TNS Sofres). Source: Sondages en France. Since January 15th. Last polls: Ipsos and LH2 (fieldwork completed on the 28th):
